Flood quantiles in a changing climate: Seasonal forecasts and causal relations

  title={Flood quantiles in a changing climate: Seasonal forecasts and causal relations},
  author={A. Sankarasubramanian and Upmanu Lall},
  journal={Water Resources Research},
Recognizing that the frequency distribution of annual maximum floods at a given location may change over time in response to interannual and longer climate fluctuations, we compare two approaches for the estimation of flood quantiles conditional on selected “climate indices” that carry the signal of structured low‐frequency climate variation, and influence the atmospheric mechanisms that modify local precipitation and flood potential. A parametric quantile regression approach and a… 

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