First Things First: The Pressing Danger of Crisis Instability in U.S.-China Relations

  title={First Things First: The Pressing Danger of Crisis Instability in U.S.-China Relations},
  author={Avery E. Goldstein},
  journal={International Security},
Since the mid-1990s, much has been written about the potentially disruptive impact of China if it emerges as a peer competitor challenging the United States. Not enough attention has been paid, however, to a more immediate danger—that the United States and a weaker China will find themselves locked in a crisis that could escalate to open military conflict. The long-term prospect for a new great power rivalry ultimately rests on uncertain forecasts about big shifts in national capabilities and… 

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