Fine-scale Identification of the Most Likely Source of a Human Plague Infection

  title={Fine-scale Identification of the Most Likely Source of a Human Plague Infection},
  author={Rebecca E Colman and Amy J. Vogler and Jennifer L. Lowell and Kenneth L. Gage and Christina Morway and Pamela J. Reynolds and Paul Ettestad and Paul S Keim and Michael Kosoy and David M. Wagner},
  booktitle={Emerging infectious diseases},
We describe an analytic approach to provide fine-scale discrimination among multiple infection source hypotheses. This approach uses mutation-rate data for rapidly evolving multiple locus variable-number tandem repeat loci in probabilistic models to identify the most likely source. We illustrate the utility of this approach using data from a North American human plague investigation. 

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