Facilitating normative judgments of conditional probability: frequency or nested sets?

@article{Yamagishi2003FacilitatingNJ,
  title={Facilitating normative judgments of conditional probability: frequency or nested sets?},
  author={Kimihiko Yamagishi},
  journal={Experimental psychology},
  year={2003},
  volume={50 2},
  pages={97-106}
}
Recent probability judgment research contrasts two opposing views. Some theorists have emphasized the role of frequency representations in facilitating probabilistic correctness; opponents have noted that visualizing the probabilistic structure of the task sufficiently facilitates normative reasoning. In the current experiment, the following conditional probability task, an isomorph of the "Problem of Three Prisoners" was tested. "A factory manufactures artificial gemstones. Each gemstone has a… CONTINUE READING