• Corpus ID: 235829738

Extreme Precipitation Seasonal Forecast Using a Transformer Neural Network

  title={Extreme Precipitation Seasonal Forecast Using a Transformer Neural Network},
  author={Daniel Civitarese and Daniel Szwarcman and Bianca Zadrozny and Campbell D. Watson},
An impact of climate change is the increase in frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events. However, confidently predicting the likelihood of extreme precipitation at seasonal scales remains an outstanding challenge. Here, we present an approach to forecasting the quantiles of the maximum daily precipitation in each week up to six months ahead using the temporal fusion transformer (TFT) model. Through experiments in two regions, we compare TFT predictions with those of two baselines… 

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