Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses

  title={Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses},
  author={Bj\orn M. Knudsen and Neil Harris and Signe Bech Andersen and Bo Christiansen and Niels Larsen and Markus Rex and B. Naujokat},
Future increases in the concentration of greenhouse gases and water vapour may cool the stratosphere further and increase the amount of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs). Future Arctic PSC areas have been extrapolated from the highly significant trends 1958–2001. Using a tight correlation between PSC area and the total vortex ozone depletion and taking the decreasing amounts of ozone depleting substances into account we make empirical estimates of future ozone. The result is that Arctic ozone… CONTINUE READING