Extinction risk from climate change

@article{Thomas2004ExtinctionRF,
  title={Extinction risk from climate change},
  author={Chris D. Thomas and Alison Cameron and Rhys. E. Green and Michel Bakkenes and Linda J. Beaumont and Yvonne C. Collingham and Barend F. N. Erasmus and Marinez Ferreira de Siqueira and Alan Grainger and Lee Hannah and Lesley Hughes and Brian Huntley and Albert S. van Jaarsveld and Guy F. Midgley and Lera Miles and Miguel A Ortega-Huerta and A. Townsend Peterson and Oliver L. Phillips and Stephen E. Williams},
  journal={Nature},
  year={2004},
  volume={427},
  pages={145-148}
}
Climate change over the past ∼30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on… 
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Recent ecological responses to climate change support predictions of high extinction risk
TLDR
A global and multitaxon metaanalysis is performed to show that empirical evidence for the realized effects of climate change supports predictions of future extinction risk, and suggests that anthropogenic climate change is now a major threat to global biodiversity.
Extinction debt from climate change for frogs in the wet tropics
TLDR
Congruence is found between forecast rates of extinction using SARs, and demographic models with an extinction lag of 120 years, concluding that SAR approaches can provide useful advice to conservation on climate change impacts, provided there is a good understanding of the time lags over which delayed extinctions are likely to occur.
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