Extinction risk from climate change

  title={Extinction risk from climate change},
  author={Chris D. Thomas and Alison Cameron and Rhys. E. Green and Michel Bakkenes and Linda J. Beaumont and Yvonne C. Collingham and Barend F. N. Erasmus and Marinez Ferreira de Siqueira and Alan Grainger and Lee Hannah and Lesley Hughes and Brian Huntley and Albert S. van Jaarsveld and Guy F. Midgley and Lera Miles and Miguel A Ortega-Huerta and A. Townsend Peterson and Oliver L. Phillips and Stephen E. Williams},
Climate change over the past ∼30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on… 
Reducing uncertainty in projections of extinction risk from climate change
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Recent ecological responses to climate change support predictions of high extinction risk
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Climate change in Australian tropical rainforests: an impending environmental catastrophe
  • S. WilliamsE. BolithoS. Fox
  • Environmental Science, Geography
    Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences
  • 2003
The impacts of global climate change in the tropical rainforests of northeastern Australia have the potential to result in many extinctions, and bioclimatic models of spatial distribution for the regionally endemic rainforest vertebrates are developed to predict the effects of climate warming on species distributions.
Vulnerability of South African animal taxa to climate change
The responsiveness of South African fauna to climate change events is poorly documented and not routinely incorporated into regional conservation planning. We model the likely range alterations of a
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Modelling strategies for predicting the potential impacts of climate change on the natural distribution of species have often focused on the characterization of a species’ bioclimate envelope. A
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A diagnostic fingerprint of temporal and spatial ‘sign-switching’ responses uniquely predicted by twentieth century climate trends is defined and generates ‘very high confidence’ (as laid down by the IPCC) that climate change is already affecting living systems.
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