Extinction probabilities and times to extinction for populations of tsetse flies Glossina spp. (Diptera: Glossinidae) subjected to various control measures.

@article{Hargrove2005ExtinctionPA,
  title={Extinction probabilities and times to extinction for populations of tsetse flies Glossina spp. (Diptera: Glossinidae) subjected to various control measures.},
  author={John W Hargrove},
  journal={Bulletin of entomological research},
  year={2005},
  volume={95 1},
  pages={
          13-21
        }
}
  • John W Hargrove
  • Published in
    Bulletin of entomological…
    2005
  • Biology, Medicine
  • A stochastic branching process was used to derive equations for the mean and variance of the probability of, and time to, extinction in tsetse populations. If the remnant population is a single inseminated female, the extinction probability increases linearly with adult mortality and is always certain if this mortality >3.5% per day even for zero pupal mortality. If the latter mortality is 4% per day, certain extinction is only avoided if adult mortality <1.5% per day. For remnant female… CONTINUE READING

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