Extinction or Explosion in a Galton-Watson Branching Process: Testing or Prediction?

Abstract

In a frequently cited paper, Becker (1974) asked whether data from a “mortal” (= terminated) smallpox outbreak better fit a subcritical or semicritical Galton-Watson branching process. We revisit this question using standard hypothesis-testing methods and reach a somewhat di↵erent conclusion than he did. For a non-terminated process, the related problem of… (More)

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Cite this paper

@inproceedings{Guttorp2012ExtinctionOE, title={Extinction or Explosion in a Galton-Watson Branching Process: Testing or Prediction?}, author={Peter Guttorp and Michael D. Perlman}, year={2012} }