• Corpus ID: 231933936

Expected Exploitability: Predicting the Development of Functional Vulnerability Exploits

@article{Suciu2021ExpectedEP,
  title={Expected Exploitability: Predicting the Development of Functional Vulnerability Exploits},
  author={Octavian Suciu and Connor Nelson and Zhuoer Lyu and Tiffany Bao and Tudor Dumitras},
  journal={ArXiv},
  year={2021},
  volume={abs/2102.07869}
}
Assessing the exploitability of software vulnerabilities at the time of disclosure is difficult and error-prone, as features extracted via technical analysis by existing metrics are poor predictors for exploit development. Moreover, exploitability assessments suffer from a class bias because “not exploitable” labels could be inaccurate. To overcome these challenges, we propose a new metric, called Expected Exploitability (EE), which reflects, over time, the likelihood that functional exploits… 
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