Existing fossil fuel extraction would warm the world beyond 1.5 °C

  title={Existing fossil fuel extraction would warm the world beyond 1.5 °C},
  author={Kelly Trout and Greg Muttitt and Dimitri Lafleur and Thijs Van de Graaf and Roman Mendelevitch and Lan Mei and Malte Meinshausen},
  journal={Environmental Research Letters},
The Paris climate goals and the Glasgow Climate Pact require anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to decline to net zero by mid-century. This will require overcoming carbon lock-in throughout the energy system. Previous studies have focused on ‘committed emissions’ from capital investments in energy-consuming infrastructure, or potential (committed and uncommitted) emissions from fossil fuel reserves. Here we make the first bottom-up assessment of committed CO2 emissions from fossil… 
3 Citations

CCCS-ESS Essay Competition 2022: 1st Prize (Open Category) Environmental Sustainability: The role of competition and consumer protection laws and policies

: As the climate change problem worsens, the private sector is increasingly seen as a vital lever for environmental sustainability. In this respect, competition law is often seen as an obstacle to



Committed emissions from existing energy infrastructure jeopardize 1.5 °C climate target

A comprehensive assessment of ‘committed’ carbon dioxide emissions—from existing and proposed fossil-fuel-based infrastructure—finds that these emissions may exceed the level required to keep global warming within 1.5 degrees Celsius.

Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming

It is shown that retiring existing fossil fuel infrastructure at the end of its expected lifetime provides a good chance that the 1.5 °C Paris Agreement target can still be met.

Tracing anthropogenic carbon dioxide and methane emissions to fossil fuel and cement producers, 1854–2010

  • R. Heede
  • Environmental Science
    Climatic Change
  • 2013
This paper presents a quantitative analysis of the historic fossil fuel and cement production records of the 50 leading investor-owned, 31 state-owned, and 9 nation-state producers of oil, natural

Commitment accounting of CO 2 emissions

The world not only continues to build new coal-fired power plants, but built more new coal plants in the past decade than in any previous decade. Worldwide, an average of 89 gigawatts per year (GW

The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2 °C

It is shown that development of resources in the Arctic and any increase in unconventional oil production are incommensurate with efforts to limit average global warming to 2 °C, and policy makers’ instincts to exploit rapidly and completely their territorial fossil fuels are inconsistent with this temperature limit.

A growing commitment to future CO2 emissions

The construction of new fossil fuel energy infrastructure implies a commitment to burn fossil fuels and therefore produce CO2 emissions for several decades into the future. The recent letter by Davis

Unextractable fossil fuels in a 1.5 °C world.

A global energy systems model is used to assess the amount of fossil fuels that would need to be left in the ground, regionally and globally, to allow for a 50 per cent probability of limiting warming to 1.5 °C and finds that most regions must reach peak production now or during the next decade, rendering many operational and planned fossil fuel projects unviable.

Limiting fossil fuel production as the next big step in climate policy

Despite the current ambivalence of the United States towards the Paris Agreement, national and local jurisdictions across the globe remain committed, and they are seeking ways to increase the

Committed emissions from existing and planned power plants and asset stranding required to meet the Paris Agreement

Over the coming decade, the power sector is expected to invest ~7.2 trillion USD in power plants and grids globally, much of it into CO2-emitting coal and gas plants. These assets typically have long

Carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels: a procedure for estimation and results for 1950-1982

With growing concern about climatic changes that could result from increased atmospheric carbon dioxide, it is appropriate to use the improved statistics on the production and use of fossil fuels