Evolution of Athletic Records: Statistical Effects versus Real Improvements

  title={Evolution of Athletic Records: Statistical Effects versus Real Improvements},
  author={Daniel Gembris and John G. Taylor and Dieter Suter},
  journal={Journal of Applied Statistics},
  pages={529 - 545}
Abstract Athletic records represent the best results in a given discipline, thus improving monotonically with time. As has already been shown, this should not be taken as an indication that the athletes' capabilities keep improving. In other words, a new record is not noteworthy just because it is a new record, instead it is necessary to assess by how much the record has improved. In this paper we derive formulae that can be used to show that athletic records continue to improve with time, even… 

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