Everyday diagnostics--a critique of the Bayesian model.

@article{Jonson1991EverydayDC,
  title={Everyday diagnostics--a critique of the Bayesian model.},
  author={Nirmal Jonson},
  journal={Medical hypotheses},
  year={1991},
  volume={34 4},
  pages={
          289-95
        }
}
In recent years Bayesian probability calculus and Bayesian decision procedures have been recommended for use in clinical medicine. The author investigate everyday diagnostics asking if it takes place in a reality that meets the conditions of the method. He finds it does not. Above all we lack that strict randomness essential for probability calculus and, further, evaluation of utility easily becomes disputable, not to say unethical. The measures constructed for neutralizing these discrepancies… CONTINUE READING
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