Evaluation of the productivity decrease risk due to a future increase in tropical cyclone intensity in Japan.

@article{Esteban2010EvaluationOT,
  title={Evaluation of the productivity decrease risk due to a future increase in tropical cyclone intensity in Japan.},
  author={Miguel Esteban and Gorka Longarte-Galnares},
  journal={Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
  year={2010},
  volume={30 12},
  pages={
          1789-802
        }
}
A number of scientists have recently conducted research that shows that tropical cyclone intensity is likely to increase in the future. This would result in an increase in the damage along with a decrease in economic productivity due to precautionary cessation of the economic activity of the affected areas during the passage of the cyclone. The economic effect of this stop in economic activity is a phenomenon that has not received much attention in the past, and the cumulative effect that it… 
View on PubMed
doi.org
13 Citations
Background Citations
5

Figures and Tables from this paper

13 Citations

Citation Type

Citation Type

Estimation of increase in storm surge damage due to climate change and sea level rise in the Greater Tokyo area
Sea level rise and an increase in typhoon intensity are two of the expected consequences from future climate change. In the present work, a methodology to change the intensity of tropical cyclones in…
Adaptation to Sea Level Rise in Tokyo Bay
Climate Change Adaptation in Tokyo Bay: The Case for a Storm Surge Barrier
Increases in typhoon intensity and sea level rise could pose significant challenges to coastal defences around Tokyo Bay. In order to analyse the extent of future problems the authors determined the…
CLIMATE CHANGE AND COASTAL DEFENCES IN TOKYO BAY
Sea level rise and an increase in typhoon intensity are two of the expected consequences from future climate change. In the present work a methodology to change the intensity of tropical cyclones in…
Impacts of Climate Change on Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific Basin. Part I: Past Observations
ABSTRACT This paper reviews the current state of the science on the relationship between climate change and historical tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the western North Pacific (WNP) basin, which…
Adapting ports to sea-level rise: empirical lessons based on land subsidence in Indonesia and Japan
ABSTRACT Five cases of ports in Japan and Indonesia that have subsided by a metre or more were analysed. The findings suggest that there are no unsurmountable technological, cost-benefit, financial…
Modeling the Impact of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Losses
This report summarizes current research on how climate change is likely to influence future losses from extreme weather events. We consider six types of weather-related extreme events: tropical…
Global trends in tropical cyclone risk
Assessments of tropical cyclone risk trends are typically based on reported losses, which are biased by improvements in information access. Now research based on thousands of physically observed…
Future typhoon and storm surges under different global warming scenarios: case study of typhoon Haiyan (2013)
The present work evaluates potential future typhoon and storm surges around the islands of Samar and Leyte in the Philippines taking into account monthly mean sea surface temperatures, atmospheric…
Post-disaster resilience of a 100% renewable energy system in Japan
...
1
2
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 20 REFERENCES
Methodology for the estimation of the increase in time loss due to future increase in tropical cyclone intensity in Japan
The present paper develops a methodology for estimating the risks and consequences of possible future increases in tropical cyclone intensities that would allow policy makers to relatively quickly…
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Recent research has strengthened the understanding of the links between climate and tropical cyclones (TCs) on various timescales. Geological records of past climates have shown century-long…
The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones
TLDR
The results are qualitatively consistent with the hypothesis that as the seas warm, the ocean has more energy to convert to tropical cyclone wind.
Future economic damage from tropical cyclones: sensitivities to societal and climate changes
  • R. Pielke
  • Environmental Science, Economics
    Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
  • 2007
TLDR
It is found that efforts to reduce vulnerability to losses, often called climate adaptation, have far greater potential effectiveness to reduce damage related to tropical cyclones than efforts to modulate the behaviour of storms through greenhouse gas emissions reduction policies, typically called climate mitigation and achieved through energy policies.
Changes in Tropical Cyclone Number, Duration, and Intensity in a Warming Environment
TLDR
A large increase was seen in the number and proportion of hurricanes reaching categories 4 and 5 and the number of cyclones and cyclone days has decreased in all basins except the North Atlantic during the past decade.
Hurricanes and Global Warming.
This paper reviews recent research on tropical cyclones and climate change from the perspective of event risk—the physical behavior of storms; vulnerability—the characteristics of a system that…
An adaptive regional input-output model and its application to the assessment of the economic cost of Katrina.
  • S. Hallegatte
  • Economics
    Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
  • 2008
TLDR
A systematic sensitivity analysis shows that, among all parameters, the overproduction capacity in the construction sector and the adaptation characteristic time are the most important.
The Use of Synthetic Hurricane Tracks in Risk Analysis and Climate Change Damage Assessment
Because of the lack of data on past hurricanes, empirical evaluations of the statistics needed for risk management are very uncertain. To overcome this problem, a hurricane model is used to produce…
Meteorology: Hurricanes and global warming
TLDR
Factors indicate that instead of “unprecedented” tropical cyclone activity having occurred in recent years, hurricane intensity was equal or even greater during the last active period in the mid-twentieth century.
Modeled Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on the Frequency of Intense Atlantic Hurricanes
TLDR
The influence of future global warming on Atlantic hurricanes with a downscaling strategy is explored by using an operational hurricane-prediction model that produces a realistic distribution of intense hurricane activity for present-day conditions.
...
1
2
...