Evaluating physicians' probabilistic judgments.

  title={Evaluating physicians' probabilistic judgments.},
  author={Roy M. Poses and Randall D. Cebul and Robert M. Centor},
  journal={Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making},
  volume={8 4},
Physicians increasingly are challenged to make probabilistic judgments quantitatively. Their ability to make such judgments may be directly linked to the quality of care they provide. Many methods are available to evaluate these judgments. Graphic means of assessment include the calibration curve, covariance graph, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Statistical tools can measure the significance of departures from ideal calibration, and measure the area under ROC curve. Modeling… CONTINUE READING

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