Estimation of potential global pandemic influenza mortality on the basis of vital registry data from the 1918-20 pandemic: a quantitative analysis.

@article{Murray2006EstimationOP,
  title={Estimation of potential global pandemic influenza mortality on the basis of vital registry data from the 1918-20 pandemic: a quantitative analysis.},
  author={Christopher J. L. Murray and Alan D Lopez and Brian Chin and Dennis M Feehan and Kenneth Hailey Hill},
  journal={Lancet},
  year={2006},
  volume={368 9554},
  pages={2211-8}
}
BACKGROUND The threat of an avian influenza pandemic is causing widespread public concern and health policy response, especially in high-income countries. Our aim was to use high-quality vital registration data gathered during the 1918-20 pandemic to estimate global mortality should such a pandemic occur today. METHODS We identified all countries with high-quality vital registration data for the 1918-20 pandemic and used these data to calculate excess mortality. We developed ordinary least… CONTINUE READING
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