# Estimation of Total Uncertainty in Modeling and Simulation

@inproceedings{Oberkampf2000EstimationOT, title={Estimation of Total Uncertainty in Modeling and Simulation}, author={William L. Oberkampf and Sharon M. DeLand and Brian Rutherford and Kathleen V. Diegert and D. F. Alvin}, year={2000} }

This report develops a general methodology for estimating the total uncertainty in computational simulations that deal with the numerical solution of a system of partial differential equations. A comprehensive, new view of the general phases of modeling and simulation is proposed, consisting of the following phases: conceptual modeling of the physical system, mathematical modeling of the conceptual model, discretization and algorithm selection for the mathematical model, computer programming of…

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