Estimating the accident potential of an Ontario driver.

  title={Estimating the accident potential of an Ontario driver.},
  author={Ezra Hauer and Bhagwant Persaud and A. K. Smiley and D S Duncan},
  journal={Accident; analysis and prevention},
  volume={23 2-3},
To run a "demerit point" program, one uses routinely available information about drivers to identify those who are most likely to have an accident in the near future. On the basis of a four-year record for a large sample of Ontario drivers, we have examined several tools for the identification of such drivers and investigated how they perform. Each driver is thought to have an expected number of accidents, m. In a group of drivers with common traits (such as age, gender, record of convictions… CONTINUE READING