Estimating the Accuracy of Jury Verdicts

@inproceedings{Spencer2007EstimatingTA,
  title={Estimating the Accuracy of Jury Verdicts},
  author={Bruce D. Spencer},
  year={2007}
}
Average accuracy of jury verdicts for a set of cases can be studied empirically and systematically even when the correct verdict cannot be known. The key is to obtain a second rating of the verdict, for example, the judge’s, as in the recent study of criminal cases in the United States by the National Center for State Courts (NCSC). That study, like the famous Kalven-Zeisel study, showed only modest judge-jury agreement. Simple estimates of jury accuracy can be developed from the judge-jury… CONTINUE READING

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