Corpus ID: 221319889

# Estimating conditional probabilities of historical migrations in the transatlantic slave trade using kriging and Markov decision process models

@article{Wiens2020EstimatingCP,
title={Estimating conditional probabilities of historical migrations in the transatlantic slave trade using kriging and Markov decision process models},
author={A. Wiens and H. Lovejoy and Zach Mullen and Eric A. Vance},
journal={arXiv: Applications},
year={2020}
}
Intra-African conflicts during the collapse of the kingdom of Oyo from 1817 to 1836 resulted in the enslavement of an estimated 121,000 people who were then transported to coastal ports via complex trade networks and loaded onto slave ships destined for the Americas. Historians have a good record of where these people went across the Atlantic, but little is known about where individuals were from or enslaved \textit{within} Africa. In this work, we develop a novel two-step statistical approach… Expand