Estimating Incumbency Advantages in African Politics : Regression discontinuity evidence from Zambian parliamentary and local government elections
@inproceedings{Macdonald2014EstimatingIA, title={Estimating Incumbency Advantages in African Politics : Regression discontinuity evidence from Zambian parliamentary and local government elections}, author={B. Macdonald}, year={2014} }
Are incumbents disproportionately advantaged at the polls relative to non-incumbents in Africa’s emerging democracies? The prevailing wisdom characterises African politics as predominantly ‘neopatrimonial’ and ‘semi-authoritarian’ in which incumbents systematically manipulate the electoral process to their own advantage. In stark contrast to this perspective, this study finds significant incumbency dis-advantages in Zambia’s local government elections using a regression discontinuity approach… CONTINUE READING
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