Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

@inproceedings{Wang2016EstimatesOG,
  title={Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015},
  author={Haidong Wang and Tim M Wolock and Austin Carter and Grant Nguyen and Hmwe H Kyu and Emmanuela Gakidou and Simon I. Hay and Edward Mills and Adam Trickey and William T Msemburi and Matthew M. Coates and M. S. Daniel Mooney and Maya S. Fraser and Amber Sligar and Joshua A Salomon and Heidi J. Larson and Joseph Friedman and Amanuel A Abajobir and Kalkidan Hassen Abate and Kaja M. Abbas and Mohamed Abd El razek and Faisal Mohammed Abd-Allah and Abdishakur S. M. Abdulle and Semaw Ferede Abera and Ibrahim Abubakar and Laith Jamal Abu-Raddad and Niveen M. E. Abu-Rmeileh and Gebre Yitayih Abyu and Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi and Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji and Ademola Lukman Adelekan and Koranteng Adofo and Ars{\`e}ne Kouablan Adou and Oluremi N. Ajala and Tomi F Akinyemiju and Nadia Akseer and Faris Lami and Ziyad Al-Aly and Kelestarian Alam and Noore K M Alam and Deena Alasfoor and Saleh Fahed S Aldhahri and Robert W Aldridge and Miguel Angel Alegretti and Alicia Aleman and Zewdie Aderaw Alemu and Rafael Alfonso-Cristancho and Raghib Ali and Ala'a Alkerwi and Francois M. Alla and Rajaa Mohammad and Salem Al-Raddadi and Ubai Alsharif and Elena Alvarez and Nelson Rafael Alvis-Guzm{\'a}n and Azmeraw T Amare and Alemayehu Amberbir and Adeladza Kofi Amegah and Walid Hakimiand Mahmoud Ammar and Stephen Marc Amrock and Carl Abelardo T. Antonio and Palwasha Anwari and Johan {\"A}rnl{\"o}v and Al Artaman and Hamid Asayesh and Rana Jawad Asghar and Reza Assadi and Suleman Atique and Lydia S Atkins and Euripide Avokpaho and Ashish Awasthi and Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla and Dr. Umar Qadir Bacha and Alaa Badawi and Aleksandra Bara{\'c} and Till W B{\"a}rnighausen and Arindam Basu and Tigist Assefa Bayou and Yibeltal Tebekaw Bayou and Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi and Justin Beardsley and Neeraj Bedi and Derrick A Bennett and Isabela Judith Martins Bense{\~n}or and Balem Demtsu Betsu and Addisu Shunu Beyene and Eesh Bhatia and Zulfiqar Ahmed Bhutta and Sibhatu Biadgilign and Boris Bikbov and Sait Mentes Birlik and Donal Bisanzio and Michael Brainin and Alexandra Bra{\vz}inov{\'a} and Nicholas J K Breitborde and Alexandria Brown and Michael Burch and Zahid Ahmad Butt and Julio C{\'e}sar Campuzano and Rosario C{\'a}rdenas and Juan Jes{\'u}s Carrero and Carlos Andr{\'e}s Casta{\~n}eda-Orjuela and Jacqueline Castillo Rivas and Ferr{\'a}n Catal{\'a}-L{\'o}pez and H Y Chang and Jung-Chen Chang and Laxmikant Chavan and Wan-qing Chen and Pei-Chia Chiang and Mirriam Chibalabala and Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa and Jina Jinjoo Choi and Devasahayam J Christopher and Liliana G. Ciobanu and Cyrus Cooper and Tukur Dahiru and Solomon Abrha Damtew and Lalit Dandona and Rakhi Dandona and Jos{\'e} das Neves and Pieter C De Jager and Diego de Leo and Louisa Degenhardt and Robert P. Dellavalle and Kebede Deribe and Amare Deribew and Don C Des Jarlais and Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne and Eric L Ding and Pratik Doshi and Kerrie Esme Doyle and Tim Driscoll and Manisha Dubey and Yousef Mohamed Elshrek and Iqbal Elyazar and Aman Yesuf Yesuf Endries and Sergey Petrovich Ermakov and Babak Eshrati and Alireza Esteghamati and Imad D. A. Faghmous and Carla Farinha and Andr{\'e} de Mattos Faro and Maryam S. Farvid and Farshad Farzadfar and Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad and Jo{\~a}o C{\^a}ndido Fernandes and Florian Fischer and Joseph Robert Anderson Fitchett and Nataliya A Foigt and Nancy Fullman and Thomas F{\"u}rst and Fortun{\'e} Gb{\`e}toho Gankp{\'e} and Teshome Gebre and Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin and Alemseged Aregay Gebru and Johanna M Geleijnse and Bradford D. Gessner and Peter W. Gething and Tsegaye Tewelde Ghiwot and Maurice Giroud and Melkamu Dedefo Gishu and Elizabeth L Glaser and Shifalika Goenka and Amador Goodridge and Sameer Vali Gopalani and Atsushi Goto and Harish Chander C Gugnani and Mark Drew Crosland Guimar{\~a}es and Rahul Gupta and Rajeev Gupta and Vipin K Gupta and Juanita Haagsma and Nima Hafezi-Nejad and Holly Hagan and Gessessew Bugssa Hailu and Randah Ribhi Hamadeh and Samer Hamidi and Mouhanad Hammami and Graeme J. Hankey and Yuantao Hao and Hilda L. Harb and Sreedharan Harikrishnan and Josep Maria Haro and Kimani M Harun and Rasmus Havmoeller and Mohammad Taghi Hedayati and Ileana B Heredia-Pi and Hans W Hoek and Masako Horino and Nobuyuki Horita and Howard Dean Hosgood and Damian G Hoy and Mohamed Hsairi and Guoqing Hu and Hsiang Huang and Jonathan J. Huang and Kim Moesgaard Iburg and Bulat Idrisov and Kaire Innos and Veena Iyer and Kathryn H Jacobsen and Nader Jahanmehr and Mihajlo B Jakovljevic and Mehdi Javanbakht and Achala Jayatilleke and Panniyammakal Jeemon and Vivekanand Jha and Guohong Jiang and Ying Jiang and Tariku Jibat Jibat and Jost Bruno Jonas and Zahangir Kabir and Ritul Kamal and Haidong Kan and Andr{\'e} Karch and Corine Kakizi Karema and Dimitris Karletsos and A. B. Kasaeian and Anil Kaul and Norito Kawakami and Jeanne Françoise Kayibanda and Peter Njenga Keiyoro and Andrew Haddon Kemp and Andre Pascal Kengne and Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran and Yousef S. Khader and Ibrahim Abdel-Messih Khalil and Abdur Rahman Khan and Ejaz Ahmad Khan and Young Ho Khang and Jagdish Khubchandani and Y. J. Kim and Yohannes Kinfu and Miia Kivipelto and Yoshihiro Kokubo and Soewarta Kosen and Parvaiz A Koul and Ai Koyanagi and Barth{\'e}lemy Kuate Defo and Burcu Kucuk Bicer and V. Sheetal Kulkarni and Gogula Suvarna Kumar and Dharmesh Kumar Lal and Hilton Yu Lam and Jennifer O. Lam and Sin{\'e}ad M. Langan and Van Charles Lansingh and Anders Larsson and James Leigh and Ricky W. K. Leung and Yongmei Li and Stephen S. Lim and Steven E. Lipshultz and Shiwei Liu and Belinda K Lloyd and Giancarlo Logroscino and Paulo Andrade Lotufo and Raimundas Lunevi{\vc}ius and H Abd El Razek and Mahdi Mahdavi and Pavithra Mahesh and Marek Majdan and Azeem Majeed and Carla Makhlouf and Reza Malekzadeh and Chabila Christopher Mapoma and Wagner Marcenes and Jos{\'e} Mart{\'i}nez-Raga and Melvin Barrientos Marzan and Felix Masiye and Amanda Mason-Jones and Bongani M. Mayosi and Martin McKee and Peter A. Meaney and Man Mohan Mehndiratta and Alemayehu B. Mekonnen and Yohannes Adama Melaku and Peter T N Memiah and Ziad Ahmed Memish and W. P. Mendoza and Atte Meretoja and Tuomo J. Meretoja and Francis Mhimbira and Ted R Miller and Joseph Mikesell and Mojde Mirarefin and Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad and Shafiu Mohammed and Ali H. Mokdad and Lorenzo Monasta and Maziar Moradi-Lakeh and Rintaro Mori and Ulrich Otto Mueller and Brighton Murimira and Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana Murthy and Aliya Naheed and Luigi Naldi and Vinay B Nangia and Denis Nash and Haseeb Nawaz and Chakib Nejjari and Frida Namnyak Ngalesoni and Jean de Dieu Ngirabega and Quyen L. Nguyen and Muhammad Imran Nisar and Ole Frithjof Norheim and Rosana E Norman and Luke Nyakarahuka and Felix Akpojene Ogbo and In Hwan Oh and Foluke Adetola Ojelabi and Bolajoko O Olusanya and Jacob Olusegun Olusanya and John Nelson Opio and Eyal Oren and Erika Ota and H Park and Jae-Hyun Park and Snehal T Patil and Scott B Patten and Vinod Kumar Paul and Katherine M Pearson and Emmanuel Kwame Peprah and David Montero Pereira and Norberto Perico and Konrad Pesudovs and Max Petzold and Michael Phillips and Julian David Pillay and Dietrich Plass and Suzanne S. Polinder and Farshad Pourmalek and David Michael Prokop and Mostafa Qorbani and Anwar Rafay and Kazem Rahimi and Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar and Mahfuzar Rahman and Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman and Sajjad ur Rahman and Rajesh Kumar Rai and Sasa Rajsic and Faujdar Ram and Saleem Muhammad Rana and Paturi Vishnupriya Rao and Giuseppe Remuzzi and David Rojas-Rueda and Luca Ronfani and Gholamreza Roshandel and Ambuj Roy and George Mugambage Ruhago and Mohammad Yahya Saeedi and Rajesh Sagar and Muhammad Muhammad Saleh and Juan Ramon Sanabria and Itamar de Souza Santos and Rodrigo Sarmiento-Su{\'a}rez and Benn K. D. Sartorius and Monika Sawhney and Aletta Elisabeth Schutte and David C. Schwebel and Soraya Seedat and Sadaf G Sepanlou and Edson Serv{\'a}n-Mori and Masood Ali Shaikh and Rajesh Kumar Sharma and Jun She and Sara Sheikhbahaei and Jiabin Shen and Kenji Shibuya and Hwashin Hyun Shin and Inga D{\'o}ra Sigf{\'u}sd{\'o}ttir and Naris Silpakit and Diego Augusto Santos Silva and Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira and Edgar P. Simard and Shireen Sindi and Jasvinder A Singh and Om Prakash Singh and P Singh and Vegard F Skirbekk and Karen Forster Olaf Sliwa and Samir S Soneji and Reed J. D. Sorensen and Joan B Soriano and David O. Soti and Chandrashekhar T. Sreeramareddy and Vasiliki A. Stathopoulou and Nicholas Steel and Bruno Fokas Sunguya and S. S. Swaminathan and Bryan L. Sykes and Rafael Tabar{\'e}s-Seisdedos and Roberto Tchio Talongwa and Mohammad Tavakkoli and Bineyam Taye and Bemnet Amare Tedla and Tesfaye Tekle and Girma Temam Shifa and Awoke Misganaw Temesgen and Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi and Fisaha Haile Tesfay and Gizachew Assefa Tessema and Kiran Thapa and A. W. J. Thomson and Andrew L Thorne-Lyman and Ruoyan Tobe-Gai and Roman Top{\'o}r-Mądry and Jeffrey Allen Towbin and Bach Xuan Tran and Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene and Nikolaos Tsilimparis and Abera Kenay Tura and Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja and Chigozie Jesse Uneke and Olalekan A Uthman and Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian and Sergey K Vladimirov and Vasiliy Vlassov and Stein Emil Vollset and Linhong Wang and Elisabete Weiderpass and Robert G. Weintraub and Andrea Werdecker and R. Brent Westerman and Tissa Wijeratne and James D. Wilkinson and Charles Shey Wiysonge and Charles D A Wolfe and Sungho Won and John Q Wong and Gelin Xu and Ajit Kumar Yadav and Bereket Yakob and Ayalnesh Zemene Yalew and Yuichiro Yano and Mehdi Yaseri and Henock Yebyo and Paul Yip and Naohiro Yonemoto and Seok Jun Yoon and Mustafa Z. Younis and Chuanhua Yu and Shi Cheng Yu and Zoubida Zaidi and Maysaa el-Sayed Zaki and Hajo Zeeb and Hao Zhang and Yong Zhao and Sanjay P. Zodpey and Leo Zoeckler and Liesl J. Zuhlke and Alan D Lopez and C. J. Murray},
  booktitle={The lancet. HIV},
  year={2016}
}
BACKGROUND Timely assessment of the burden of HIV/AIDS is essential for policy setting and programme evaluation. In this report from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we provide national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and mortality for 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015. METHODS For countries without high-quality vital registration data, we estimated prevalence and incidence with data… CONTINUE READING
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