Estimates of Seismic Potential in the Marmara Sea Region from Block Models of Secular Deformation Constrained by Global Positioning System Measurements

  title={Estimates of Seismic Potential in the Marmara Sea Region from Block Models of Secular Deformation Constrained by Global Positioning System Measurements},
  author={Brendan J. Meade and Bradford H. Hager and Simon McClusky and Robert E. Reilinger and Semih Ergintav and Onur Lenk and Aykut A. Barka and Haluk {\"O}zener},
We model the geodetically observed secular velocity field in northwestern Turkey with a block model that accounts for recoverable elastic-strain accumulation. The block model allows us to estimate internally consistent fault slip rates and locking depths. The northern strand of the North Anatolian fault zone (NAFZ) carries approximately four times as much right-lateral motion ( 24 mm/yr) as does the southern strand. In the Marmara Sea region, the data show strain accumulation to be highly… CONTINUE READING
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