Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic model

  title={Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic model},
  author={V. Colizza and Alessandro Vespignani and N. Perra and C. Poletto and B. Gonçalves and H. Hu and D. Balcan and D. Paolotti and W. Van den Broeck and M. Tizzoni and P. Bajardi and J. J. Ramasco},
  journal={PLoS Currents},
  • V. Colizza, Alessandro Vespignani, +9 authors J. J. Ramasco
  • Published 2009
  • Medicine
  • PLoS Currents
  • Determining the number of cases in an epidemic is fundamental to properly evaluate several disease features of high relevance for public health policies such as mortality, morbidity or hospitalization rates. Surveillance efforts are however incomplete especially at the early stage of an outbreak due to the ongoing learning process about the disease characteristics. An example of this is represented by the number of H1N1 influenza cases in Mexico during the first months of the current pandemic… CONTINUE READING
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