Epidemic potential of an emerging vector borne disease in a marginal environment: Schmallenberg in Scotland

@inproceedings{Bessell2013EpidemicPO,
  title={Epidemic potential of an emerging vector borne disease in a marginal environment: Schmallenberg in Scotland},
  author={Paul R Bessell and Kate R. Searle and Harriet K. Auty and Ian G Handel and Bethan V Purse and B. Mark deC. Bronsvoort},
  booktitle={Scientific reports},
  year={2013}
}
During 2011 Schmallenberg virus (SBV) presented as a novel disease of cattle and sheep that had apparently spread through northern Europe over a relatively short period of time, but has yet to infect Scotland. This paper describes the development of a model of SBV spread applied to Scotland in the event of an incursion. This model shows that SBV spread is very sensitive to the temperature, with relatively little spread and few reproductive losses predicted in years with average temperatures but… CONTINUE READING
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