Epidemic plateau in critical susceptible-infected-removed dynamics with nontrivial initial conditions.

  title={Epidemic plateau in critical susceptible-infected-removed dynamics with nontrivial initial conditions.},
  author={Filippo Radicchi and Ginestra Bianconi},
  journal={Physical review. E},
  volume={102 5-1},
Containment measures implemented by some countries to suppress the spread of COVID-19 have resulted in a slowdown of the epidemic characterized by time series of daily infections plateauing over extended periods of time. We prove that such a dynamical pattern is compatible with critical susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) dynamics. In traditional analyses of the critical SIR model, the critical dynamical regime is started from a single infected node. The application of containment measures to an… 
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