Ensemble forecasting in the Mediterranean sea

@inproceedings{Bonazzi2008EnsembleFI,
  title={Ensemble forecasting in the Mediterranean sea},
  author={Alessandro Bonazzi},
  year={2008}
}
A new methodology is being devised for ensemble ocean forecasting using distributions of the surface wind field derived from a Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM). The ocean members are forced with samples from the posterior distribution of the wind during the assimilation of satellite and in-situ ocean data. The initial condition perturbations are then consistent with the best available knowledge of the ocean state at the beginning of the forecast and amplify the ocean response to… CONTINUE READING

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