Ensemble Forecast : A New Approach to Uncertainty and Predictability

@inproceedings{Zhu2005EnsembleF,
  title={Ensemble Forecast : A New Approach to Uncertainty and Predictability},
  author={Yuejian Zhu},
  year={2005}
}
Ensemble techniques have been used to generate daily numerical weather forecasts since the 1990s in numerical centers around the world due to the increase in computation ability. One of the main purposes of numerical ensemble forecasts is to try to assimilate the initial uncertainty (initial error) and the forecast uncertainty (forecast error) by applying either the initial perturbation method or the multi-model/multiphysics method. In fact, the mean of an ensemble forecast offers a better… CONTINUE READING
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