Empirically downscaled temperature scenarios for northern Europe based on a multi-model ensemble

  title={Empirically downscaled temperature scenarios for northern Europe based on a multi-model ensemble},
  author={R. E. Benestad},
  • R. E. Benestad
  • Published 2002
A number of empirically downscaled climate scenarios are presented for 115 locations in northern Europe, based on 17 different global climate scenarios, different choices of regions from which the predictor fields are taken, and employing a technique based on common principal components. A total of 48 different scenarios are estimated for each location, and the ensemble of this is used as a first-order measure of the ‘most likely’ extrapolation of the current climatic trends. The ensemble… CONTINUE READING


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