Eliciting Subjective Probabilities in Internet Surveys.

@article{Delavande2008ElicitingSP,
  title={Eliciting Subjective Probabilities in Internet Surveys.},
  author={Adeline Delavande and Susann Rohwedder},
  journal={Public opinion quarterly},
  year={2008},
  volume={72 5},
  pages={866-891}
}
Individuals' subjective expectations are important in explaining heterogeneity in individual choices, but their elicitation poses some challenges, in particular when one is interested in the subjective probability distribution of an individual. We have developed an innovative visual representation for Internet surveys that has some advantages over previously used formats. In this paper we present our findings from testing this visual representation in the context of individuals' Social Security… CONTINUE READING

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