Electricity load demand forecasting using exponential smoothing methods

@inproceedings{Jalil2013ElectricityLD,
  title={Electricity load demand forecasting using exponential smoothing methods},
  author={N Jalil and Maizah Hura Ahmad and Norizan Mohamed},
  year={2013}
}
In this paper five exponential smoothing methods are considered for load forecasting for lead times from a half-hour-ahead to a year-ahead. Forecasting load demand with high accuracy is required to prevent energy wasting and system failure. For this purpose, a half-hourly load demand of Malaysia for one year, from September 01, 2005 to August 31, 2006 was used. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is used for comparing the forecasting accuracy. Time series of load demand recorded at half… CONTINUE READING

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