Election Fraud or Strategic Voting

@inproceedings{Mebane2010ElectionFO,
  title={Election Fraud or Strategic Voting},
  author={Walter R. Mebane},
  year={2010}
}
I simulate a mixture process that generates individual preferences that, when aggregated into precincts, have counts whose second significant digits approximately satisfy Benford’s Law. By deriving sincere, strategic and coerced votes from these preferences under a plurality voting rule, I find that tests based on the second digits of the precinct counts are sensitive to differences in how the counts are derived. The tests can distinguish coercion from strategic voting, and can even detect roll… CONTINUE READING

References

Publications referenced by this paper.
SHOWING 1-10 OF 37 REFERENCES

2006 ¿Fraude Electoral

López, Jorge Alberto Gallardo.
  • Chihuahua, Mexico: Doble Hélice Ediciones.
  • 2009

Analysis: Iran Election Statistics Muddy Waters Further.

Tait, Robert, Julian Borger
  • 2009

Electoral Falsification in Russia: Complex Diagnostics Selections 2003-2004, 2007-2008 (in Russian).

Mebane, R Walter, Jr., Kirill Kalinin
  • Electoral Policy REO 2/09:
  • 2009

Iran: Election Fraud on Friday?” The New Republic: Blogs

Matthews, Dylan.
  • 28
  • 2009

Election Forensics: Statistics, Recounts and Fraud.

Mebane, R Walter, Jr.
  • Paper presented at the 2007 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association,
  • 2007

Presidential and Congressional Elections in Mexico.

Klesner, L Joseph
  • Electoral Studies
  • 2007