Efficient Splitting Simulation for Blackout Analysis

  title={Efficient Splitting Simulation for Blackout Analysis},
  author={S. -W. Wang and Argon Chen and Chih-Wen Liu and Chun-Hung Chen and John F. Shortle and Jin-Yi Wu},
  journal={IEEE Transactions on Power Systems},
The analysis of severe blackouts has become an essential part of transmission grid planning and operation. This may include evaluation of rare-event probabilities, which can be difficult to estimate. While simulation offers flexibility to model large complex systems, efficiency remains a big concern when estimating very small probabilities. This paper presents an effective simulation technique to evaluate rare-event probabilities associated with cascading blackouts in an electric grid. We test… CONTINUE READING
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