Effect of aggregation on the estimation of trend in mortality.

  title={Effect of aggregation on the estimation of trend in mortality.},
  author={Juha M. Alho},
  journal={Mathematical population studies},
  volume={3 1},
  • Juha M. Alho
  • Published 1991 in Mathematical population studies
"There are three approaches to analyzing and forecasting age-specific mortality: (1) analyze age-specific data directly, (2) analyze each cause-specific mortality series separately and add the results, (3) analyze cause-specific mortality series jointly and add the results. We show that if linear models are used for cause-specific mortality, then the three approaches often give close results even when cause-specific series are correlated. This result holds for cross-correlations arising from… CONTINUE READING

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