Economic evaluations vs. ideology: Diagnosing the sources of electoral change in Turkey, 2002-2011

  title={Economic evaluations vs. ideology: Diagnosing the sources of electoral change in Turkey, 2002-2011},
  author={Ali Çarkoğlu},
  journal={Electoral Studies},
  • A. Çarkoğlu
  • Published 1 September 2012
  • Sociology
  • Electoral Studies
Economic Voting in Turkey: Perceptions, Expectations, and the Party Choice
Following a brief summary of macroeconomic developments since 2001 and a review of the economic voting literature in the Turkish context, we examine the effect of economic evaluations on the
Economic Voting and Media Influence in a Competitive Authoritarian Setting: Evidence from Turkey
It is generally assumed that individuals take national economic performance into account while voting. But the question of how perceptions about the economy may be influenced by partisan media
Taking Sides: Determinants of Support for a Presidential System in Turkey*
Abstract A key issue on the Turkish political agenda concerns a transition to presidentialism, with a constitutional amendment proposal submitted in December 2016. While the positions of political
Behavioral Underpinnings of Turkish Society
This chapter provides a historical assessment of the primary fault lines in Turkish society since the end of the nineteenth century. The chapter offers a broad overview of three distinct eras in
Competitive authoritarianism: examining satisfaction with democracy and perception of voting efficacy in Turkey
Since the turn of the century, scholars have noticed a worrying trend of democratic backsliding. Countries around the world are becoming more authoritarian with public support, which is manifesting
Which matters more in the electoral success of Islamist (successor) parties – religion or performance? The Turkish case
Does the electoral success of Islamist parties depend on the support of religious voters or does it owe as much or more to their performance in dealing with key political and economic issues? The
  • F. M. Wuthrich
  • Political Science
    International Journal of Middle East Studies
  • 2013
Abstract For nearly forty years, scholars have utilized the metanarrative of a center–periphery cleavage first proposed by Şerif Mardin to explain a variety of phenomena in Turkish politics and
Left-Right Reversed: Parties and Ideology in Modern Turkey
Existing analysis of the Turkish party system suggests that it is unique in several respects. Upper class voters tend to support the Republican People’s Party (CHP), the center-left social democratic
Economic and corruption voting in a predominant party system: The case of Turkey
Voting behavior studies have paid scarce attention to the predominant party system (PPS), in which one party has won three consecutive legislative majorities, despite the fact that nearly half of the


Ideology or Economic Pragmatism?: Profiling Turkish Voters in 2007
Abstract The July 2007 general elections took place in an atmosphere of polarization around debates concerning the changing nature of the Turkish political regime. The election victory for the
Economic Performance and Political Outcomes: An Analysis of the Turkish Parliamentary and Local Election Results Between 1950 and 2004
The results of twenty-five Turkish elections for parliament and local administrations between 1950 and 2004 are studied. Turkish voters are found to take government's economic performance into
Attitudinal Orientation to Party Organizations in Turkey in the 2000s
Abstract The Turkish party system experienced a serious blow in the early 1980s, when the military government in power closed down all the former legal political parties. Therefore, little evidence
Party Preferences and Economic Voting in Turkey (Now That the Crisis Is Over)
The purpose of this study is to re-examine the factors that shape party preferences in Turkey by estimating an individual vote intention function. The economic variables in the empirical model are
Empirical investigation of party preferences and economic voting in Turkey
Abstract.  This article examines the factors that shape party preferences in Turkey by estimating an individual vote intention function that includes both economic and non-economic factors. The
Turkish Democracy Today: Elections, Protest and Stability in an Islamic Society
The experience of democracy in Turkey since its introduction in 1950 has been bloody, chequered but persistent. The complex cultural and economic stratification of Turkish society, together with its
Voter Profiles and Fragmentation in the Turkish Party System
Based on the multinomial logit estimates of an individual vote intention function, we perform restriction tests to make pairwise comparisons of the voter profiles of the major political parties in
The Economic Vote: How Political and Economic Institutions Condition Election Results
1. Introduction Part I. Describing the Economic Vote in Western Democracies: 2. Defining and measuring the economic vote 3. Patterns of retrospective economic voting in western democracies 4.
A New Electoral Victory for the ‘Pro-Islamists’ or the ‘New Centre-Right’? The Justice and Development Party Phenomenon in the July 2007 Parliamentary Elections in Turkey
The July 2007 elections took place in an atmosphere of polarization, with the central issue the nature of the Turkish political regime. The elections are contextualized within a long- as well as a