Ebola virus disease in West Africa--the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections.

  title={Ebola virus disease in West Africa--the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections.},
  author={Bruce Aylward and Philippe Barboza and Luke Bawo and Eric Bertherat and Pepe Bilivogui and Isobel M Blake and Rick Brennan and Sylvie Briand and Jethro Magwati Chakauya and Kennedy Chitala and Roland M Conteh and Anne Cori and Alice Croisier and Jean-Marie Dangou and Boubacar Diallo and Christl A. Donnelly and Christopher Dye and Tim Eckmanns and Neil M. Ferguson and Pierre B H Formenty and Caroline Fuhrer and Keiji Fukuda and Tini Garske and Alex Gasasira and Stephen Gbanyan and Peter Graaff and Emmanuel Heleze and Amara Jambai and Thibaut Jombart and Francis Kasolo and Albert Mbule Kadiobo and Sakoba Keita and Daniel Kertesz and Moussa Kone and Chris Lane and Jered Markoff and Moses Massaquoi and Harriet L. Mills and John Mike Mulba and Emmanuel O. Musa and Joel K Myhre and Abdusalam Nasidi and Eric James Nilles and Pierre Nouvellet and Deo Nshimirimana and Isabelle Nuttall and Tolbert G. Nyenswah and Olushayo Olu and Scott Pendergast and William Perea and Jonathan Polonsky and Steven Riley and Olivier Ronveaux and Keita Sakoba and Ravi Santhana Gopala Krishnan and Mikiko Senga and Faisal M B Shuaib and Maria D. Van Kerkhove and Rui Vaz and Niluka Wijekoon Kannangarage and Zabulon Yoti},
  journal={The New England journal of medicine},
  volume={371 16},
BACKGROUND On March 23, 2014, the World Health Organization (WHO) was notified of an outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea. On August 8, the WHO declared the epidemic to be a "public health emergency of international concern." METHODS By September 14, 2014, a total of 4507 probable and confirmed cases, including 2296 deaths from EVD (Zaire species) had been reported from five countries in West Africa--Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal, and Sierra Leone. We analyzed a detailed subset… CONTINUE READING
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Early epi demic dynamics of the West African 2014 Ebola outbreak: estimates derived with a simple two-parameter model

  • D Fisman, E Khoo, A. Tuite
  • Plos Currents Outbreaks
  • 2014

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