Earthquakes Cannot Be Predicted

  title={Earthquakes Cannot Be Predicted},
  author={Robert J. Geller and David D. Jackson and Yan Y. Kagan and Francesco Mulargia},
  pages={1616 - 1616}
Can the time, location, and magnitude of future earthquakes be predicted reliably and accurately? In their Perspective, Geller et al.'s answer is “no.” Citing recent results from the physics of nonlinear systems “chaos theory,” they argue that any small earthquake has some chance of cascading into a large event. According to research cited by the authors, whether or not this happens depends on unmeasurably fine details of conditions in Earth's interior. Earthquakes are therefore inherently… 
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  • Y.
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