Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and Implications
@article{Hansen2005EarthsEI, title={Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and Implications}, author={James E. Hansen and Larissa S. Nazarenko and Reto Ruedy and Makiko Sato and Josh K. Willis and Anthony D. Del Genio and Dorothy M. Koch and Andrew A. Lacis and Ken K. Lo and Surabi Menon and Tica Novakov and Judith Perlwitz and Gary L. Russell and Gavin A. Schmidt and Nicholas Tausnev}, journal={Science}, year={2005}, volume={308}, pages={1431 - 1435} }
Our climate model, driven mainly by increasing human-made greenhouse gases and aerosols, among other forcings, calculates that Earth is now absorbing 0.85 ± 0.15 watts per square meter more energy from the Sun than it is emitting to space. This imbalance is confirmed by precise measurements of increasing ocean heat content over the past 10 years. Implications include (i) the expectation of additional global warming of about 0.6°C without further change of atmospheric composition; (ii) the…
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