Early Real-time Estimation of Infectious Disease Reproduction Number

  title={Early Real-time Estimation of Infectious Disease Reproduction Number},
  author={Bahman Davoudi and Babak Pourbohloul and Joel C. Miller and Rafael Meza and L. Meyers and David J. D. Earn},
When an infectious disease strikes a population, the number of newly reported cases is often the only available information that one can obtain during early stages of the outbreak. An important goal of early outbreak analysis is to obtain a reliable estimate for the basic reproduction number, R0, from the limited information available. We present a novel method that enables us to make a reliable real-time estimate of the reproduction number at a much earlier stage compared to other available… Expand
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