Dynamic stability of the Solar System: Statistically inconclusive results from ensemble integrations

  title={Dynamic stability of the Solar System: Statistically inconclusive results from ensemble integrations},
  author={Richard E. Zeebe},
  journal={arXiv: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics},
  • R. Zeebe
  • Published 11 December 2014
  • Physics
  • arXiv: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
Due to the chaotic nature of the Solar System, the question of its long-term stability can only be answered in a statistical sense, for instance, based on numerical ensemble integrations of nearby orbits. Destabilization of the inner planets, leading to close encounters and/or collisions can be initiated through a large increase in Mercury's eccentricity, with a currently assumed likelihood of ~1%. However, little is known at present about the robustness of this number. Here I report ensemble… Expand
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