Doubling of world population unlikely

@article{Lutz1997DoublingOW,
  title={Doubling of world population unlikely},
  author={Wolfgang Lutz and Warren C. Sanderson and Sergei Scherbov},
  journal={Nature},
  year={1997},
  volume={387},
  pages={803-805}
}
Most national and international agencies producing population projections avoid addressing explicitly the issue of uncertainty. Typically, they provide either a single projection or a set of low, medium and high variants,, and only very rarely do they give these projections a probabilistic interpretation. Probabilistic population projections have been developed for specific industrialized countries, mostly the United States, and are based largely on time-series analysis. On a global level, time… 
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