Do climate envelope models transfer? A manipulative test using dung beetle introductions

  title={Do climate envelope models transfer? A manipulative test using dung beetle introductions},
  author={Richard P Duncan and Phillip Cassey and Tim M Blackburn},
  journal={Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences},
  pages={1449 - 1457}
Climate envelope models (CEMs) are widely used to forecast future shifts in species ranges under climate change, but these models are rarely validated against independent data, and their fundamental assumption that climate limits species distributions is rarely tested. Here, we use the data on the introduction of five South African dung beetle species to Australia to test whether CEMs developed in the native range can predict distribution in the introduced range, where the confounding effects… CONTINUE READING
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