Do Targeted Assassinations Work? A Multivariate Analysis of Israel's Controversial Tactic during Al-Aqsa Uprising 1

@article{Hafez2006DoTA,
  title={Do Targeted Assassinations Work? A Multivariate Analysis of Israel's Controversial Tactic during Al-Aqsa Uprising 1},
  author={Mohammed M. Hafez and Joseph M. Hatfield},
  journal={Studies in Conflict \& Terrorism},
  year={2006},
  volume={29},
  pages={359 - 382}
}
We assess the impact of Israel's targeted assassinations policy on rates of Palestinian violence from September 2000, the beginning of Al-Aqsa uprising, through June 2004. Literature concerning the relationship between repression and rebellion suggests four plausible effects of targeted assassinations on insurgents: deterrence, backlash, disruption, and incapacitation. Using differenced and lagged time-series analysis, this article utilizes multiple and logistic regression to evaluate the… 
View on Taylor & Francis
safetylit.org
103 Citations
Highly Influential Citations
5
Background Citations
30
Results Citations
3

103 Citations

State-directed political assassination in Israel: A political hypothesis

Extant theories explain reasonably well why the Israeli state exercises a given level of violence against substate actors. Based on economic or sociological models of human action, these theories…

An Exploratory Study on the Impact of Electoral Participation upon a Terrorist Group's Use of Violence in a Given Year

Recent studies seeking to understand the determinants of terrorism tend to focus upon situational, rather than structural measures. Typically these studies examine the interaction of terrorist…

The effects of Israeli use of coercive and conciliatory tactics on Palestinian's use of terrorist tactics: 2000–2006

The study investigated the effects of Israel's use of offensive, defensive and conciliatory tactics on Palestinian's use of terrorist tactics. Proportional hazard modeling assessed the effects of…

The Military's Role in Counterterrorism: Examples and Implications for Liberal Democracies (The Letort Papers)

Abstract : In the aftermath of the September 11, 2001 (9/11) attacks, the U.S. Government was criticized for adopting a militaristic response to the threat posed by al- Qaeda and affiliated groups.…

Does Targeted Capture Reduce Terrorism?

From January 1979 to December 2009, the Maoist insurgent Shining Path committed a total of 9,034 violent acts in a concerted attempt to topple the Peruvian government. These acts of violence included…

Targeted killings in Northern Ireland: an analysis of their effectiveness and implications for counter-terrorism policies

What effect if any, do Targeted Killings (TKs) have on cycles of violence? This study explores and offers a perspective on the claimed successes of counter-terrorist policies, the issues that…

Effective Counterterrorism: What Have We Learned so Far?

The fight against terrorism, in particular of Islamist nature, has become a focus area of foreign and security policies in Western countries and around the world. This substantial effort is however…

US Strikes in Somalia and Targeted Civilian Killings by Al-Shabaab: An Empirical Investigation

This study investigates the relationship between US strikes targeting Al-Shabaab and civilian victimization using spatially disaggregated data. We find that US strikes make it approximately 5.5…

Assessing the Effectiveness of High-Profile Targeted Killings in the “War on Terror”

Research Summary Since the attacks of September 11, 2001, and the ensuing “war on terrorism,” the U.S. government has engaged in a series of controversial counterterrorism policies. Perhaps none is…

Terrorist retaliation? An analysis of terrorist attacks following the targeted killing of top-tier al Qaeda leadership

One controversial counterterrorism method employed by the United States is the targeted killing of terrorist leadership. Much has been written on this topic, but little of it is based on empirical…
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 57 REFERENCES

Israel's Policy of Targeted Killing

  • S. David
  • Political Science
    Ethics & International Affairs
  • 2003
Since the beginning of the second intifada in the fall of 2000, Israel has pursued a policy in which alleged Palestinian terrorists have been hunted down and killed by government order. The policy is…

From Peaceful Protest to Guerrilla War: Micromobilization of the Provisional Irish Republican Army

  • R. White
  • Political Science
    American Journal of Sociology
  • 1989
Concentrating on the development of one politically violent organization, the Provisional Irish Republican Army (IRA), leads to conclusions that differ from more aggregate approaches. A quantitative…

The Political Economy of Death Squads: Toward a Theory of the Impact of State-Sanctioned Terror

A central theoretical question in the literature on state-sanctioned terror is whether, and under what conditions, repressive violence deters or stimulates a shift in popular support away from the…

Inviting Women's Rebellion: A Political Process Interpretation of the Women's Movement.

Which is the real women's movement? The 1960s guerilla theater with feminists chanting "No more male legislators"? Or the political action committees of the 1970s distributing money to progressive…

The Effectiveness of Antiterrorism Policies: A Vector-Autoregression-Intervention Analysis

Using quarterly data from 1968 to 1988, we analyze the time series properties of the various attack modes used by transnational terrorists. Combining vector autoregression and intervention analysis,…

A Protest-Cycle Resolution of the Repression/Popular-Protest Paradox

Many people [in Guatemala] did begin to join the guerrillas, while many more were sympathetic or quietly supportive. The guerrillas are the only remaining source of defense left to a community or…

Any Name Illegal and Immoral

  • Y. Stein
  • Political Science, Law
    Ethics & International Affairs
  • 2003
Since November 2000, Israel has been implementing an assassination policy in the occupied territories. The Israeli policy is both illegal and immoral. The legal questions are much more complicated…

Why Regimes Create Disorder

Research on protest and repression has shown that state coercion may result in increased mobilization or effectively deter further challenges. The nature of dissident responses to repression is…

Government Coercion of Dissidents

The dynamic effect of government coercion on dissident activities has been a controversial issue. It is contended that this relationship is significantly altered when different control variables such…

After the Massacre: Mobilization in the Wake of Harsh Repression

What do dissidents do after a massacre? This article uses thirty-one brutal repressions to test collective-action theory in the harshest possible context. After a massacre, dissidents are outraged at…
...