Do Commodity Price Shocks Cause Armed Conflict? A Meta-Analysis of Natural Experiments

  title={Do Commodity Price Shocks Cause Armed Conflict? A Meta-Analysis of Natural Experiments},
  author={Graeme Blair and Darin Christensen and Aaron Rudkin},
  journal={American Political Science Review},
  pages={709 - 716}
Scholars of the resource curse argue that reliance on primary commodities destabilizes governments: price fluctuations generate windfalls or periods of austerity that provoke or intensify civil conflict. Over 350 quantitative studies test this claim, but prominent results point in different directions, making it difficult to discern which results reliably hold across contexts. We conduct a meta-analysis of 46 natural experiments that use difference-in-difference designs to estimate the causal… 
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