Disease extinction and community size: modeling the persistence of measles.

  title={Disease extinction and community size: modeling the persistence of measles.},
  author={Matt J. Keeling and Bryan T. Grenfell},
  volume={275 5296},
A basic issue in ecology is the relation between extinction and population size. One of the clearest manifestations of a population threshold for extinction is the critical community size below which infections like measles do not persist. The current generation of stochastic models overestimates the observed critical community size for measles, generating much less persistence of infection than is observed. The inclusion of a more biologically realistic model for the duration of infection… CONTINUE READING
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