Corpus ID: 237592656

Discussing anthropogenic global warming from an econometric perspective: a change scenario based on the Arima paleoclimate time series model

  title={Discussing anthropogenic global warming from an econometric perspective: a change scenario based on the Arima paleoclimate time series model},
  author={Gilmar V. F. Santos and Lucas G. Cordeiro and Claudio A. Rojo e Edison L. Leismann},
Global warming has divided the scientific community worldwide with predominance for anthropogenic alarmism. This article aims to project a climate change scenario using a stochastic model of paleotemperature time series and compare it with the dominant thesis. The ARIMA model – an integrated autoregressive process of moving averages, popularly known as Box-Jenkins was used for this purpose. The results showed that the estimates of the model parameters were below 1°C for a scenario of 100 years… Expand


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