Did Bush Voters Cause Obama's Victory?

  title={Did Bush Voters Cause Obama's Victory?},
  author={Arthur Lupia},
  journal={PS: Political Science \& Politics},
  pages={239 - 241}
  • A. Lupia
  • Published 1 April 2010
  • Sociology, Economics
  • PS: Political Science & Politics
Abstract In the 2008 election, Barack Obama's campaign brought many new voters to the polls. Were these new voters necessary for Obama's victory? In this study, I find that they were not. The basis of this finding is an examination of decisions made by people who voted for George W. Bush in 2004. I show that Bush voters' decisions not to vote or to support Obama were a sufficient condition for Obama's victory. 
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