Did Bush Voters Cause Obama's Victory?

@article{Lupia2010DidBV,
  title={Did Bush Voters Cause Obama's Victory?},
  author={A. Lupia},
  journal={PS: Political Science \& Politics},
  year={2010},
  volume={43},
  pages={239 - 241}
}
  • A. Lupia
  • Published 2010
  • Political Science
  • PS: Political Science & Politics
Abstract In the 2008 election, Barack Obama's campaign brought many new voters to the polls. Were these new voters necessary for Obama's victory? In this study, I find that they were not. The basis of this finding is an examination of decisions made by people who voted for George W. Bush in 2004. I show that Bush voters' decisions not to vote or to support Obama were a sufficient condition for Obama's victory. 
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References

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The presidential turnout rate for those eligible to vote was 61.6% in 2008, which marks the third consecutive increase in presidential turnout rates since the modern low point of 51.7% in 1996.Expand