Determinants of emissions pathways in the coupled climate-social system.

@article{Moore2022DeterminantsOE,
  title={Determinants of emissions pathways in the coupled climate-social system.},
  author={Frances C. Moore and Katherine Lacasse and Katharine J. Mach and Yoon Ah Shin and Louis J. Gross and Brian Beckage},
  journal={Nature},
  year={2022}
}
The ambition and effectiveness of climate policies will be essential in determining greenhouse gas emissions and, as a consequence, the scale of climate change impacts1,2. However, the socio-politico-technical processes that will determine climate policy and emissions trajectories are treated as exogenous in almost all climate change modelling3,4. Here we identify relevant feedback processes documented across a range of disciplines and connect them in a stylized model of the climate-social… 
Socio-Political Feedback on the Path to Net Zero
Anthropogenic emissions of CO2 must soon approach net-zero to stabilize the global mean temperature. Although several international agreements have advocated for coordinated climate actions, their
Promotion Policies for Electric Vehicle Diffusion in China Considering Dynamic Consumer Preferences: A Network-Based Evolutionary Analysis
An improved understanding of how policies can promote the diffusion of electric vehicles (EVs) is critical to achieving sustainable development. Previous studies of EV diffusion dynamics have paid
Source-Load Coordinated Low-Carbon Economic Dispatch of Electric-Gas Integrated Energy System Based on Carbon Emission Flow Theory
The development of emerging technologies has enhanced the demand response (DR) capability of conventional loads. To study the effect of DR on the reduction in carbon emissions in an integrated energy

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 107 REFERENCES
Linking models of human behaviour and climate alters projected climate change
Although not considered in climate models, perceived risk stemming from extreme climate events may induce behavioural changes that alter greenhouse gas emissions. Here, we link the C-ROADS climate
Sociopolitical Feedbacks and Climate Change
The Article investigates sociopolitical feedbacks in the economy-climate system. These feedbacks occur when climate change affects the social or political processes that determine mitigation or
Are Economists Getting Climate Dynamics Right and Does it Matter?
<p>We show that several of the most important economic models of climate change produce climate dynamics inconsistent with the current crop of models in climate science. First, most economic models
The shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions to 2500
Abstract. Anthropogenic increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are the main driver of current and future climate change. The integrated assessment community has quantified
Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050
TLDR
This work discusses and evaluates the potential of social tipping interventions (STIs) that can activate contagious processes of rapidly spreading technologies, behaviors, social norms, and structural reorganization within their functional domains that it describes as social tipping elements (STEs).
Exploring policy options with a behavioral climate–economy model
Many integrated energy–economy–climate models have been developed to address climate change policy. While these models are quite varied in scope, most share a common core of economic optimization and
A Question of Balance: Weighing the Options on Global Warming Policies
As scientific and observational evidence on global warming piles up every day, questions of economic policy in this central environmental topic have taken centre stage. But as author and prominent
Negative emissions and international climate goals—learning from and about mitigation scenarios
For aiming to keep global warming well-below 2 °C and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5 °C, as set out in the Paris Agreement, a full-fledged assessment of negative emission technologies (NETs) that
Creating Agent-Based Energy Transition Management Models That Can Uncover Profitable Pathways to Climate Change Mitigation
TLDR
This paper describes how to create realistic energy transition management models: quantitative models that can discover profitable pathways from fossil fuels to renewable energy and concludes with practical guidelines.
A multi-model analysis of long-term emissions and warming implications of current mitigation efforts
Most of the integrated assessment modelling literature focuses on cost-effective pathways towards given temperature goals. Conversely, using seven diverse integrated assessment models, we project
...
...