• DOI:10.2139/ssrn.4160612
• Corpus ID: 250451050

Detecting Anti-dumping Circumvention: A Network Approach

@article{Barbaglia2022DetectingAC,
  title={Detecting Anti-dumping Circumvention: A Network Approach},
  author={Luca Barbaglia and Christophe Croux and Ines Wilms},
  journal={SSRN Electronic Journal},
  year={2022}
}

• Luca Barbaglia, C. Croux, I. Wilms
• Published 12 July 2022
• Economics
• SSRN Electronic Journal

Despite the increasing integration of the global economic system, anti-dumping measures are a common tool used by governments to protect their national economy. In this paper, we propose a methodology to detect cases of anti-dumping circumvention through re-routing trade via a third country. Based on the observed full network of trade flows, we propose a measure to proxy the evasion of an anti-dumping duty for a subset of trade flows directed to the European Union, and look for possible cases of circumvention of an active anti-dumping duty. Using panel regression, we are able correctly classify 86% of the trade flows, on which an investigation of anti-dumping circumvention has been opened by the European authorities.