Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?

@article{Macdougall2017DestinedFW,
  title={Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?},
  author={James Macdougall},
  journal={The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters},
  year={2017}
}
  • James Macdougall
  • Published 1 June 2017
  • Political Science
  • The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters
Professor Graham Allison gazes into the future of US-China relations in Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap? only to find the best guide to the future is the past. Specifically based on Thucydides's well-known observation that "It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this inspired in Sparta that made war inevitable," Allison has popularized the phrase "Thucydides's Trap" to describe the dangerous historical dynamic that develops when a rising power threatens to… 
The Thucydides Trap and the Korean Peninsula: So why Won’t the USA and China Get Caught?
Abstract“It was the rise of Athens and the fear that it instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable” as Thucydides famously stated. But are we destined to hear echoes of “Carthago delenda est”
NEITHER A NEW COLD WAR NOR A NEW PELOPONNESIAN WAR: THE EMERGING CYBER-NARRATIVE COMPETITION AT THE HEART OF SINO-AMERICAN RELATIONS
There is much pessimism as to the current state of Sino-American relations, especially since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in January 2020. Such pessimism has led to some scholars and
The geopolitics of COVID-19: US-China rivalry and the imminent Kindleberger trap
TLDR
This paper probes how China and the USA navigated the ongoing COVID-19 crisis to determine whether or not they are currently in a “Kindleberger Trap,” using elements of the meta-geopolitics framework of analysis.
Power Transitions: Thucydides Didn’t Live in East Asia
Are power transitions between a rising power and a declining hegemon particularly volatile? Is a war between China and the United States possible or even likely as a power transition draws near?
U.S. - China: “Power Transition” and the Outlines of “Conflict Bipolarity”
This article focuses on the phenomenon of global rivalry between China and the United States in terms of power transition theory, which is scientifically new and relevant due to the increased
Will Liberal Hegemony Lead to a Cold War in Asia?
  • David Blair
  • Political Science, Economics
    China and Globalization
  • 2021
The system of liberal US hegemony set up after World War II had very beneficial effects for Western Europe, Japan and some other countries. During this period of Pax Americana, there was no direct
“The Decline of the West”: What Is It, and Why Might It Matter?
The international order created under the auspices of “American hegemony” appears to be unraveling during the erratic and nationalistic leadership of Donald Trump, and the growing geopolitical and
Cooperation, Uncertainty, and the Rise of China: It’s About “Time”
Are the United States and China destined for conflict, or might SinoAmerican relations be managed more peacefully? Many scholars of international politics cast a concerned eye at the prospect of a
US–China Rivalry in the twenty-first century: Déjà vu and Cold War II
In 2019, US–China relations that had been characterized by a pattern of ups and downs over the past quarter century took a clear and possibly irreversible turn for the worse. This change has provoked
Offensive realism, thucydides traps, and the tragedy of unforced errors: classical realism and US–China relations
  • J. Kirshner
  • Political Science
    China International Strategy Review
  • 2019
The emergence of China as a great power, and its implications for International Relations, especially with regard its relations with the United States and the prospects for conflict between the two
...
...

References

SHOWING 1-6 OF 6 REFERENCES
Foreign Policy Decisionmakers as Practical-intuitive Historians: Applied History and Its Shortcomings
In performing judgment, inference and choice functions in the foreign policy decisionmaking process, decisionmakers acting as practical-intuitive historians rely on a variety of procedures. These
Thinking in Time: The Uses of History for Decision-Makers
"A convincing case that careful analysis of the history, issues, individuals, and institutions can lead to better decisions-in business as well as in government" (BusinessWeek). Two noted professors
A Power Transition and Its Effects
  • Power and Restraint: A Shared Vision for the
Just How Likely Is Another War? Assessing the Similarities and Differences between 1914 and 2014
  • Atlantic
Destined for War